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Ethiopia moves closer to ending default with $1 billion bond deal

Ethiopia moves closer to ending default with $1 billion bond deal

Ethiopia has moved closer to emerging from sovereign default after its official creditors approved a preliminary agreement to restructure the country’s $1 billion Eurobond. The decision removes an important obstacle in negotiations that have lasted several years and provides a significant test for the G20 system created to resolve debt crises in developing economies.

Official creditors approve the agreement
Ethiopia’s Official Creditor Committee, co-chaired by France and China, concluded that the proposed agreement with private bondholders was compatible with the debt relief terms previously negotiated with bilateral lenders. The approval allows the Ethiopian government to proceed with implementing the draft restructuring agreed with investors in June.

A long negotiation over one bond
The East African country defaulted on its only international bond in 2023 after requesting debt treatment under the G20 Common Framework two years earlier. The $1 billion Eurobond was originally due to mature in 2024. Several attempts to reach an agreement failed, including a proposal in January that official creditors considered inconsistent with the principle that different groups of lenders should receive comparable treatment.

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A new financial instrument breaks the deadlock
The latest proposal includes a New Money Warrant that would allow participating bondholders to invest in a future Ethiopian bond worth up to $1 billion at a market-linked interest rate. Ethiopia would alternatively be permitted to settle the warrant in cash, with the payment capped at $90 million. Market participants have described the instrument as an important factor in breaking the deadlock between the government and investors.

Creditors remain cautious
Official lenders warned that the warrant could ultimately provide private bondholders with more favourable terms than those granted to bilateral creditors. If that happens, countries that have already restructured Ethiopia’s debt may demand adjustments to their own agreements. The creditor committee said it would therefore monitor the warrant closely and stressed that its acceptance should not automatically create a precedent for future sovereign restructurings.

Bondholders must still vote
The restructuring cannot take effect until it receives formal approval from bondholders. An ad hoc committee representing approximately 45% of investors in the Eurobond supported the agreement in principle, but the wider investor group must still accept the final terms. Successful completion would resolve one of the most visible elements of Ethiopia’s external debt crisis, although it would not remove the country’s broader fiscal and foreign-currency pressures.

A major test for the G20 framework
Ethiopia is the last country still completing a restructuring under the G20 Common Framework. The initiative was launched during the pandemic to coordinate debt relief between traditional Western lenders, China and private investors. Zambia and Ghana have also used the process, but negotiations have repeatedly been criticised for moving slowly and creating uncertainty for governments and investors.

Why the agreement matters for Africa
A completed deal could eventually help Ethiopia rebuild investor confidence and prepare for a gradual return to international capital markets. However, access to new borrowing will depend on economic reforms, foreign-exchange stability and the government’s ability to maintain sustainable public finances. The outcome will also influence how investors assess future African debt restructurings. If Ethiopia completes the process successfully, it may demonstrate that compromises between China, Western governments and private creditors are possible. If further disputes emerge, criticism of the G20 framework will intensify.

Newshub Editorial in Africa – 24 August 2026

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