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Global markets set for cautious Monday open

European shares weaken at open amid Trump-linked geopolitical uncertainty

Global markets are expected to open cautiously on Monday as investors balance strong equity momentum against renewed pressure from oil, bond yields and inflation risk. Wall Street ended last week with gains, while Asian and European shares were supported by technology stocks, but the coming sessions will test whether the rally can survive higher energy prices and key inflation data.

Asia starts with oil risk
Asian markets are likely to focus on crude prices, currencies and China data. Higher oil remains a particular concern for import-heavy economies such as India, Japan and South Korea. Investors will also watch China’s industrial profits and PMI signals for evidence of stronger domestic demand.

Europe faces energy pressure
European markets may open with a more defensive tone. The region remains more exposed to energy disruption and supply-chain pressure than the United States. Inflation data and European Central Bank signals will be closely watched, especially if oil keeps feeding into price expectations.

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Wall Street looks to inflation
US markets enter the week with strong momentum after another positive run for the S&P 500. The main focus will be the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, PCE, alongside GDP, durable goods and consumer confidence data. Technology and AI-linked stocks remain the key support for sentiment.

Bonds remain the warning signal
Government bond markets are still flashing caution. Elevated long-term yields in the US, UK and Japan show that investors remain worried about inflation, fiscal deficits and energy shocks. If yields rise further, equity valuations could come under pressure.

A selective opening
Monday’s global open is therefore likely to be positive but fragile. Investors may continue to favour technology, energy and companies with strong pricing power, while avoiding highly leveraged sectors. The market mood remains risk-on, but only as long as oil and bond yields stay contained.

Newshub Editorial in Global Markets – 23 May 2026

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