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Markets hesitant as Asia edges higher and eyes turn to Europe and US

Chinese stocks lead Asia’s gains, Evergrande faces liquidation

A currency trader passes by the screens showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), center, and the foreign exchange rate between U.S. dollar and South Korean won, right, at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Monday, Jan. 29, 2024. Asian markets opened the week on a positive note, with Chinese regulators announcing measures to support the country’s teetering stock markets while heavily indebted property developer China Evergrande was ordered to undergo liquidation

Asian markets opened cautiously on Monday, showing slight gains across key indices as investors digested global economic signals and prepared for a week of political uncertainty and corporate earnings. With central banks still grappling with inflation and signs of softening consumer demand in major economies, risk appetite remains restrained.

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 rose by 0.4% in early trade, supported by tech shares and a weaker yen, which offered a tailwind to exporters. Investors remain alert to signals from the Bank of Japan, which last week reaffirmed its intention to maintain an accommodative stance, despite persistent speculation about rate adjustments later this summer.

China’s markets were more subdued. The Shanghai Composite edged up just 0.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dipped slightly in the first hour of trade, dragged down by property and technology shares. Investors are awaiting further clarification from Beijing on stimulus plans for the second half of the year, particularly regarding local government debt and consumer incentives.

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South Korea’s Kospi moved up 0.3%, led by semiconductor firms after upbeat sentiment from US peers last week. However, broader gains were tempered by weak export data and concerns over global demand.

The broader mood across Asia remains one of caution, with geopolitical risks and economic divergence shaping trade. While inflation in the US shows signs of cooling, European indicators remain mixed, and political instability in France continues to cast a shadow over eurozone markets.

Looking ahead, European markets are set for a tepid open. Futures point to small gains in the FTSE 100 and DAX, but traders are expected to remain on the sidelines ahead of speeches by several ECB officials later in the day. Political fallout from France’s parliamentary gridlock and upcoming UK economic data, including GDP and manufacturing figures, will also be closely watched.

In the US, futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are currently flat, reflecting uncertainty ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress this week. Investors are also bracing for the unofficial start of earnings season, with major banks including JPMorgan and Citigroup set to report results on Friday.

With bond markets stabilising and energy prices relatively muted, the week begins with a holding pattern. But potential catalysts from central bank rhetoric, political developments, and earnings reports could shift the tone swiftly.


REFH – newshub finance

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