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Fears grow Basel III reforms could penalise African banking sector

Fears grow Basel III reforms could penalise African banking sector

Financiers and policymakers across Africa are raising fresh concerns that the global Basel III regulatory framework — designed in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis — could disproportionately burden African banks, potentially restricting credit, slowing development, and undermining financial inclusion across the continent.

The rules, developed under the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, were intended to strengthen capital buffers and reduce systemic risk in major financial centres. But African banking leaders warn that standards built around advanced economies risk being misaligned with the realities of emerging markets.

Global rules, local consequences
Basel III introduces tighter capital requirements, liquidity ratios and risk-weighting standards, forcing banks to hold more high-quality capital against their lending. While this has improved resilience in Europe and North America, African financiers argue that applying the same metrics to developing economies could have unintended consequences.

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Many African banks already operate with conservative balance sheets and limited access to low-cost funding. Industry executives say stricter capital rules may compel lenders to pull back from long-term infrastructure finance, small-business loans and agricultural credit — sectors that are critical for job creation and economic growth.

“The risk is that well-intended global safeguards end up constraining the very investment Africa needs most,” one senior regional banker said, noting that higher compliance costs could also accelerate consolidation, squeezing smaller domestic institutions.

Development lending under pressure
A central concern is how Basel III treats long-tenor and project finance. Infrastructure investments — roads, power grids, water systems — typically require patient capital, yet attract heavier risk weights under the framework. That makes such projects less attractive for commercial banks, even where demand is strong and development impact is clear.

Economists warn this could widen Africa’s already substantial infrastructure funding gap, estimated in the tens of billions of dollars annually. With governments facing tight fiscal space, reduced bank participation would place even greater reliance on multilateral lenders and foreign capital.

There are also fears that trade finance, a lifeline for many African exporters and importers, could become more expensive as liquidity rules raise the cost of short-term credit.

Calls for proportional implementation
African regulators are not rejecting Basel III outright. Instead, many are advocating for proportionality — adapting the standards to local conditions rather than applying them wholesale. Central banks across the continent are exploring phased rollouts, tailored risk models and transitional arrangements to avoid sudden shocks to credit supply.

Policy experts argue that Africa’s banking systems were not at the heart of the 2008 crisis and should not be treated as if they carry the same systemic risks as global financial hubs. They are urging international bodies to recognise the continent’s distinct economic structure, lower leverage levels and development priorities.

Implications for growth and inclusion
The debate comes at a sensitive moment, as African economies seek to accelerate recovery, expand digital finance and bring millions of unbanked citizens into the formal system. Bank executives caution that if Basel III is implemented too rigidly, it could slow progress on financial inclusion by making retail and SME lending less commercially viable.

For investors, the outcome matters. Tighter regulation could improve headline stability but may also dampen profitability and loan growth across African banking stocks, reshaping capital flows into the sector.

Balancing stability with development
Ultimately, the challenge is to strike a balance between global financial safety and local economic realities. African policymakers say resilience is important — but not at the expense of growth.

As Basel III continues to roll out worldwide, the continent’s banking leaders are pressing for a more flexible approach, warning that without it, reforms born from a Western crisis could end up slowing Africa’s development journey.

Newshub Editorial in Africa – 18 February 2026

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