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China’s debt leverage in Africa and the power it creates

China has become the single largest bilateral creditor to many African countries, a position that has reshaped the continent’s financial landscape and given Beijing substantial economic and political leverage through debt, infrastructure finance and strategic diplomacy.

The scale of African debt to China
Over the past two decades, Chinese policy banks, state-owned enterprises and development funds have extended hundreds of billions of dollars in loans to African governments and state entities. These loans have financed ports, railways, highways, power plants and telecommunications infrastructure across the continent. Countries such as Angola, Kenya, Ethiopia, Zambia and Djibouti have accumulated particularly large exposures. Much of this lending has been channelled through initiatives linked to the Belt and Road Initiative, which prioritises connectivity and trade routes aligned with Chinese strategic interests.

Why African governments turned to China
Chinese financing has often filled a gap left by Western lenders and multilateral institutions, which typically impose strict conditions related to governance, transparency and fiscal discipline. Beijing’s loans are generally faster to secure and come with fewer political requirements. For governments facing urgent infrastructure needs or limited access to global capital markets, Chinese credit has appeared attractive, even when offered at commercial or semi-commercial rates.

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Debt as strategic influence
China’s creditor position provides leverage in several ways. At the most basic level, debt obligations create long-term financial dependence, particularly where loans are backed by future commodity revenues or sovereign guarantees. In cases of repayment stress, China has shown a willingness to renegotiate terms, extend maturities or grant temporary relief. However, these negotiations are typically bilateral and opaque, strengthening Beijing’s bargaining position.

Control over strategic assets
In some instances, debt distress has coincided with increased Chinese control over critical infrastructure. Ports, railways and energy assets built and operated by Chinese firms can become long-term concessions or management contracts. While outright asset seizures are rare, the practical outcome is often extended Chinese operational influence over key national infrastructure, reinforcing Beijing’s economic footprint.

Political and diplomatic alignment
Debt relationships also translate into diplomatic leverage. African countries heavily indebted to China are more likely to support Beijing’s positions in international forums, including the United Nations. This has been evident on issues such as Taiwan, Hong Kong and human rights votes. China presents this alignment as mutual respect and non-interference, but the financial imbalance undeniably shapes political calculations.

Risks for Africa and China alike
For African states, high levels of Chinese debt increase fiscal vulnerability and limit policy flexibility, particularly during commodity downturns or global financial shocks. For China, mounting defaults and restructuring requests expose its banks to losses and complicate its image as a development partner. As a result, Beijing has increasingly shifted towards debt rescheduling, selective forgiveness and co-financing arrangements with multilateral institutions.

A relationship still evolving
China’s use of debt in Africa is less about immediate coercion and more about long-term strategic positioning. Through finance, infrastructure and diplomacy, Beijing has embedded itself deeply in African economies. How this power dynamic evolves will depend on African governments’ ability to diversify funding sources and negotiate more transparent, sustainable terms.

Newshub Editorial in Africa – 18 January 2026

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