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Asian markets mixed as investors await earnings and watch global trade signals

Nikkei plunge nears 9% as Japanese bank stocks plummet

Currency traders work near a screen showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), top left, and the foreign exchange rate between U.S. dollar and South Korean won, top center, at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Monday, April 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon)

Asian equities opened the week on a cautious note, with regional indices displaying a mixed performance as markets responded to political developments in Japan, central bank moves in China, and the global anticipation of major corporate earnings.

China and Hong Kong edge higher
Stocks in mainland China and Hong Kong recorded modest gains as investors reacted to the People’s Bank of China maintaining its benchmark lending rates. The Hang Seng Index advanced approximately 0.3%, supported by recent economic data indicating stabilisation in China’s industrial output and retail sales. Market sentiment was also bolstered by improved diplomatic signals between Beijing and Washington, easing immediate concerns over trade escalation.

Japan closed but the yen strengthens
Tokyo markets remained shut for a public holiday, yet political developments were in focus. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s ruling coalition lost its majority in the upper house during weekend elections. Despite the shift in parliamentary balance, investors showed little concern, with the yen gaining modestly against the dollar. Analysts viewed the outcome as unlikely to derail policy continuity, but noted that domestic reform momentum may slow.

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Korea and Taiwan diverge
South Korea’s Kospi index rose 0.5% in early trading, supported by strong export figures and improving consumer confidence. Technology shares led the gains amid optimism around chip sector demand. In contrast, Taiwan’s Taiex slipped by about 0.3%, driven by profit-taking in the tech sector following recent rallies. Analysts flagged continued caution ahead of US tech earnings later this week, with Taiwanese manufacturers deeply embedded in global supply chains.

Australia under pressure
Australian shares fell, with the ASX 200 down around 1.1%. Mining and banking sectors dragged the index lower, weighed by concerns over slowing Chinese demand for raw materials and a dip in iron ore prices. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s cautious tone on inflation, combined with subdued wage growth data, reinforced expectations that interest rates would remain steady through the next quarter.

Global context and outlook
The Asian session unfolded amid a quiet global lead, with Wall Street having logged three consecutive weeks of gains. However, investor focus has shifted to key earnings reports expected this week from Alphabet, Tesla, Microsoft, and IBM, which are likely to influence risk appetite. In currency markets, the yen’s appreciation reflected a preference for safety amid rising geopolitical tensions, while commodity markets saw small gains in oil and gold prices.

Conclusion
Today’s mixed opening across Asia signals a market in wait-and-see mode. While political shifts in Japan and firming Chinese economic signals offered some direction, broader sentiment remains tethered to the unfolding US earnings season and looming trade policy decisions. Investors are positioning cautiously amid global uncertainties, looking for cues from central banks, multinationals, and diplomatic forums in the weeks ahead.

REFH – Newshub, 21 July 2025

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