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Bitcoin ($104,073) outlook for the week of 12 May 2025

Bitcoiners were first to realize US economic data ‘was wrong’

Bitcoin has recently surged past the $100,000 mark, reaching a high of $104,000, driven by positive market sentiment and optimism surrounding global trade. The cryptocurrency has seen a 4.7% daily gain, bouncing back from a low of $74,000 in April. This surge is largely attributed to the easing of global uncertainties, including a new U.S.-U.K. trade deal and reports of positive progress in the U.S.-China trade talks. Analysts suggest that if Bitcoin can maintain this level of support at $100,000, it may be poised to reach new all-time highs in the coming weeks.

Technical indicators suggest strong bullish momentum, with the relative strength index (RSI) currently above 70, pointing to potentially overbought conditions in the short term. However, if the rally continues, resistance is expected near $107,000, with a more significant upside target of $120,000. On the other hand, if the $100,000 support level fails to hold, Bitcoin could retrace to around $92,000, where key technical support lies.

Institutional interest remains strong, with significant inflows into Bitcoin-focused products. Over the past three weeks, digital asset funds have seen $5.5 billion in inflows, with $1.8 billion directed toward Bitcoin products alone. The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has been a major factor in boosting investor confidence, providing a more accessible avenue for both institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency.

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Looking ahead, Bitcoin will likely be influenced by broader macroeconomic factors. Global trade agreements, such as the recent U.S.-U.K. deal, continue to ease market uncertainties and contribute to Bitcoin’s rise. However, ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic policies will also play a significant role in shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory in the weeks to come.

Investors should keep an eye on the upcoming technical levels: resistance at $107,000 and $120,000, and support at $100,000 and $92,000. A breakout above the $107,000 resistance could signal further bullish momentum, while a drop below $92,000 may indicate a potential reversal.

As we move further into May, the outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic, provided global economic conditions continue to favour risk assets and investors stay bullish on the long-term potential of digital currencies.

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