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Bitcoin price has 75% chance of hitting new highs in 2025

2025/03/27/08:59
in Crypto
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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A decade of Bitcoin price data found that BTC price has a 75% chance of making new highs in the next 9 months.

Bitcoin network economist Timothy Peterson maintains his optimistic outlook for BTC 

BTC $87,384, suggesting that there is a 75% chance that the asset will hit new highs in the next nine months.

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In a March 25 X post, Peterson highlighted BTC’s current position near the lower bound of its historical range. The analyst emphasized that Bitcoin’s current path aligns with the bottom 25% threshold, giving it majority odds for a positive rally.

Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin 10-year seasonality chart. Source: X.com

Peterson said: 

“Here is a 50% chance it will gain 50%+ in the short term.”

Peterson’s statements follow an earlier study that found that most of Bitcoin’s annual bullish performance occurred in April and October, which have averaged 12.98% and 21.98%, respectively, over the past decade.

Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin monthly returns. Source: CoinGlass

Bitcoin onchain cost basis zone key investors’ levels

In a recent quicktake post on CryptoQuant, anonymous analyst Crazzyblockk said that the realized price for short-term whales is $91,000, whereas most highly active addresses hold a cost basis between $84,000 and $85,000.

Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin short-term whales position. Source: CryptoQuant

A dip below the cost basis could trigger selling, making the $84,000 to $85,000 range a critical liquidity zone.

The analyst added:

“These onchain cost basis levels represent decision zones where market psychology shifts. Traders and investors should closely monitor price reactions in these areas to gauge trend strength and potential reversals.”

Source: Cointelegraph

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