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US markets open mixed as investors await key inflation data

The US markets opened cautiously on Wednesday, with major indices displaying muted movements as investors weighed softening economic signals against expectations for upcoming inflation data. Persistent questions over the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory continued to shape sentiment, contributing to a restrained start to the trading day.

Muted start amid data-driven caution
The opening bell saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average trade marginally lower, giving back part of Tuesday’s gains as cyclical stocks lost momentum. The S&P 500 hovered near the flatline, while the Nasdaq Composite edged slightly higher, supported by renewed interest in large-cap technology shares. Investors showed little appetite for directional bets ahead of today’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) components within the Fed’s preferred inflation trackers.

Focus shifts to inflation expectations
Market participants entered the session with increased sensitivity to any signals that might influence the Fed’s rate-cut timeline. Recent data pointing to slower consumer spending and easing labour-market tightness has bolstered hopes of a more accommodative stance, yet officials have maintained a cautious tone. As a result, equity markets opened in a holding pattern, reflecting a blend of optimism and restraint. Treasury yields dipped modestly in early trading, mirroring expectations for a gradual reduction in policy rates over the coming quarters.

Tech steadies the indices
Large technology companies once again played a stabilising role. Semiconductor stocks opened firmer following overnight gains in global chip names, while cloud-computing and AI-linked companies continued to attract flows. The sector remains a key driver of market resilience, helping offset weakness in industrials and consumer discretionary shares. Energy stocks lagged at the open as crude oil prices pulled back for a third consecutive session on concerns about slowing global demand.

Corporate updates influence sentiment
Earnings-related movements created pockets of volatility. Pre-market reports from major retailers suggested softer holiday-season demand, weighing on the consumer sector. Conversely, financials showed slight strength as several banks benefited from early-morning upward revisions to earnings forecasts. Analysts noted that the broader market lacked a unified theme, reinforcing the cautious, data-dependent tone.

Outlook for the session
Traders expect activity to accelerate as the trading day progresses, particularly once fresh inflation indicators are released. Volatility may increase if the figures diverge from forecasts, especially given the tight correlation between inflation expectations and equity valuations. For now, positioning remains conservative, with investors awaiting clarity on the Fed’s next steps and the durability of the recent rebound in risk appetite.

Newshub Editorial in North America – 10 December 2025

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