Global markets are set for a measured and cautiously optimistic opening on Monday, with investors preparing for a week dominated by central-bank signals, geopolitical tensions and renewed scrutiny of global growth dynamics. Early futures activity points to restrained risk appetite, as traders balance improving inflation data in key economies with persistent concerns over energy prices and slowing industrial output.
Equities: investors weigh rate paths and year-end positioning
Equities in Asia, Europe and North America are expected to open Monday in a relatively tight range. The market narrative continues to centre on whether major central banks will signal earlier-than-expected rate adjustments as inflation trends downwards. Investors remain sensitive to corporate earnings guidance, which has been mixed across sectors. Technology and consumer-facing stocks are anticipated to open firmer, supported by stable demand indicators, while industrials may see muted momentum due to weakening global manufacturing sentiment. Several analysts expect trading volumes to remain thin ahead of key macro releases later in the week.
Currencies: dollar to open firm as safe-haven flows persist
The US dollar is expected to begin the week on a firmer note as geopolitical uncertainties continue to drive a modest inclination toward safe-haven assets. The euro and pound are likely to open slightly softer, weighed down by uneven economic data from the eurozone and the United Kingdom. The Japanese yen may see mild early-session strength following renewed expectations that the Bank of Japan could adjust its policy stance in early 2026. Emerging-market currencies are set for a mixed start, with performance largely linked to commodity movements and local inflation readings.
Commodities: energy markets remain volatile
Oil prices are likely to open Monday with continued volatility. Supply-side pressures, shifting OPEC+ expectations and seasonal demand factors all remain influential. Brent and WTI futures edged lower in pre-weekend trading, and analysts anticipate cautious price action unless new production signals emerge. Gold is positioned for a modestly stronger open, supported by persistent geopolitical risk and steady safe-haven flows. Industrial metals may show limited early movement, reflecting subdued Chinese demand indicators and weaker global factory output.
Bonds: yields to move within narrow bands
Global sovereign-bond markets are expected to open in stable territory, with traders awaiting this week’s inflation prints and forward-guidance updates. US Treasury yields may drift marginally higher as markets reassess the timing of potential rate cuts. European yields are likely to remain contained, supported by expectations of gradual easing in the eurozone during the first half of 2026. In emerging markets, local bonds may attract renewed interest if global risk sentiment stabilises.
Newshub Editorial in The Americas – 7 December 2025
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