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Africa’s financial week shaped by rising debt risks, diamond slowdown and retail consolidation

This week in Africa’s financial markets was marked by heightened concerns over sovereign debt sustainability, weakening commodity-driven revenues, and significant corporate restructuring. While some countries showed resilience with easing inflation and modest business growth, the overall outlook remained fragile.

Global yields increase pressure on African debt
Rising global bond yields continued to pose challenges for heavily indebted African economies. Investors demanded higher premiums to hold African sovereign debt, leading to increased borrowing costs for governments already under fiscal pressure. Economists warned that this trend could further strain budgets, raise default risks, and limit spending on development projects.

Angola’s oil sector struggles while Ghana sees easing inflation
Angola remained under pressure as oil revenues failed to meet expectations, despite new foreign investment pledges. The economy faces structural weaknesses and ongoing exposure to price fluctuations, leaving the risk of fiscal shortfalls high. In contrast, Ghana delivered more positive news, with inflation easing further in August. The Ghanaian cedi experienced some volatility, but analysts believe that the central bank’s current policy direction provides a foundation for a gradual recovery.

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Botswana’s diamond sector weakens
Botswana, long considered a stable economic performer, faced fresh headwinds as demand for natural diamonds slowed. Competition from synthetic stones and shifting consumer preferences have dented the country’s main source of revenue. De Beers, a key partner in Botswana’s diamond trade, has seen weaker returns, and diversification efforts remain slow. Rising unemployment and declining reserves highlight the risks of continued dependence on the diamond industry.

Shoprite moves closer to Africa-wide consolidation
Retail giant Shoprite moved towards completing its continental consolidation strategy. The South African group, which has scaled back operations in countries such as Nigeria, Kenya, and Ghana, now focuses on a smaller footprint across southern Africa. Mozambique remains under review, with security concerns and weak consumer demand weighing on prospects. The consolidation reflects broader challenges for consumer-facing companies operating in volatile markets.

South Africa records modest business activity growth
South Africa’s economy saw tentative signs of improvement, with the purchasing managers’ index for August rising slightly above the neutral 50 mark. A firmer rand helped ease cost pressures for importers, while inflation slowed to 3.5% year-on-year in July. Despite this, higher food and fuel prices, coupled with global trade headwinds such as new tariffs on South African goods, continue to create uncertainty for businesses and investors.

Outlook remains mixed
Africa’s financial week closed with a blend of risks and opportunities. Sovereign debt challenges and commodity vulnerabilities remain key concerns, while isolated improvements in inflation and business sentiment offered cautious optimism. For investors, the outlook suggests a need for selective engagement, balancing opportunities in resilient economies against wider structural weaknesses across the continent.

Newshub, 6 September 2025

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