On 8 July 2025, former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro remains embroiled in a high-stakes Supreme Court trial for allegedly orchestrating a coup to overturn his 2022 election defeat, while grappling with health issues that have curtailed his public appearances. The far-right leader, banned from office until 2030, denies the charges but faces up to 12 years in prison if convicted, drawing international attention, including from US President Donald Trump.
The trial, which began in June 2025, centres on accusations that Bolsonaro led a “criminal organisation” to prevent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s return to power after the 2022 election. Prosecutors allege Bolsonaro was aware of a plot, dubbed “Green and Yellow Dagger,” involving a draft decree to arrest Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes. Bolsonaro admitted in court to exploring “alternative ways” to stay in power, including military options, but denied orchestrating a coup. The trial, overseen by a five-justice panel, has seen over 80 witnesses, with final allegations from the prosecutor’s office expected soon. A recent Genial/Quaest survey shows 51% of Brazil’s federal representatives want Bolsonaro to abandon any 2026 candidacy, reflecting waning political support.
Health challenges have compounded Bolsonaro’s legal battles. On 2 July, he announced a month-long medical rest due to persistent hiccups and vomiting, cancelling planned trips to Santa Catarina and Rondônia. This follows a 12-hour abdominal surgery in April, linked to a 2018 campaign trail stabbing, which left him in intensive care. Despite these setbacks, Bolsonaro attended a rally in São Paulo on 29 June, where thousands chanted “Bolsonaro, come back!” However, crowd sizes have dwindled, with estimates of 45,000 attendees compared to 185,000 in February, per the University of São Paulo.
International support has emerged, notably from Trump, who on 7 July called the trial a “witch hunt” on Truth Social, comparing it to his own legal battles. Bolsonaro responded, thanking Trump and labelling the case “lawfare” aimed at political persecution. Posts on X echo this sentiment, with supporters decrying media coverage, though others note Bolsonaro’s declining influence, with attention shifting to figures like São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. Additional allegations of running an illegal spy ring under his administration, targeting rivals and journalists, have further clouded his legacy.
Bolsonaro’s future remains uncertain as the trial progresses and his health limits his ability to rally supporters. With Brazil’s political landscape shifting and his electoral ban in place, the former president’s once-dominant presence faces challenges, though his loyal base continues to demand his return.
REFH – newshub finance
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