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Asian markets steady amid political uncertainty and cautious sentiment

Asia stocks rise on rate cut wagers, yen wallows at 38-year lows

A man looks at an electric monitor displaying a stock quotation board outside a bank in Tokyo, Japan, June 5, 2023

Asian markets opened on a mixed note this morning, as investors absorbed shifting political landscapes across Europe and the United States, alongside continued uncertainty over the trajectory of interest rates and commodity prices. Trading remained measured in most major exchanges, with few signs of strong risk appetite.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 dipped slightly in early trade, down 0.3%, following a weaker-than-expected reading on household spending and fresh speculation about a policy shift at the Bank of Japan. The yen remained range-bound, trading near 161.4 to the US dollar, providing limited relief to exporters. Sentiment was also weighed down by persistent concerns over inflation and the slow pace of wage growth, which continues to drag on consumer confidence.

In China, the Shanghai Composite edged up 0.2% in cautious trading. Investors were looking ahead to upcoming economic data expected later this week, including trade figures and inflation numbers. Despite repeated pledges from Beijing to support the economy, confidence remains fragile among foreign investors amid a weak property sector and continued geopolitical headwinds.

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Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index opened slightly higher, gaining 0.4% as tech stocks showed some early resilience following a positive lead from Wall Street. However, gains were capped by renewed scrutiny of Chinese tech firms by US lawmakers and a lingering lack of clarity around the city’s economic reopening strategy.

South Korea’s KOSPI was broadly flat, with semiconductors and financials offsetting minor losses in energy and shipping stocks. The won remained under modest pressure, as investors digested the Bank of Korea’s latest minutes hinting at a prolonged pause in rate adjustments.

Meanwhile, Australia’s ASX 200 inched up 0.1%, bolstered by modest gains in materials and banking shares. The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its latest policy decision later today, with analysts largely expecting a hold, though a hawkish tone could surprise markets.

Across the region, traders were keeping one eye on European political developments following a turbulent weekend in France and growing tensions in Brussels over green legislation and migration policy. These developments, coupled with the US presidential campaign heating up, continue to inject caution into global portfolios.

Brent crude held steady near $85 per barrel, while gold remained just below its recent highs, trading around $2,330 an ounce — a signal that haven demand persists even as volatility remains muted. Yields on 10-year US Treasuries hovered at 4.43%, offering few clues ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls report.

For now, the mood in Asia remains one of cautious watchfulness. Investors are clearly waiting for more decisive macro signals before shifting allocations, as the second half of the year opens under a cloud of political ambiguity and economic fragility.

REFH – newshub finance

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