Sunday, June 1, 2025
No Result
View All Result
newshub
  • Global news
  • Financial insights
    • Africa
    • Asia
    • Australia
    • Central Banks
    • China
    • Commodities
    • Europe
    • Banking
    • Corporate
    • Neobanking
    • Investment
    • Japan
    • South East Asia
    • Stock of the week
    • UK
    • US
  • Fin & tech
    • AI
    • Blockchain
    • Crypto
    • MSTRpay
    • Tech
  • Climate & energy
    • Climate
    • Carbon
    • Coal
    • Disruptive
    • Gas
    • Nuclear
    • Oil
    • Solar
    • Water
    • Waves
    • Wind
    • Renewable
    • South America
  • Lifestyle
    • Best chefs
    • Cocktail of the week
    • History
    • Influential women
  • WEX
    • Alt Kap Holding AB
    • Digital Network Holding, Inc.
    • Fantas-E AB
    • International Clean Energy Inc.
    • Intritum Partner Limited
    • Intritum Recycling GH Limited
    • MSTRpay AB
    • SWAP Services, Inc.
    • VMT Holding, Inc.
    • Universal Streaming Technologies – USTA
    • TC Unterhaltungselektronik AG
  • Global news
  • Financial insights
    • Africa
    • Asia
    • Australia
    • Central Banks
    • China
    • Commodities
    • Europe
    • Banking
    • Corporate
    • Neobanking
    • Investment
    • Japan
    • South East Asia
    • Stock of the week
    • UK
    • US
  • Fin & tech
    • AI
    • Blockchain
    • Crypto
    • MSTRpay
    • Tech
  • Climate & energy
    • Climate
    • Carbon
    • Coal
    • Disruptive
    • Gas
    • Nuclear
    • Oil
    • Solar
    • Water
    • Waves
    • Wind
    • Renewable
    • South America
  • Lifestyle
    • Best chefs
    • Cocktail of the week
    • History
    • Influential women
  • WEX
    • Alt Kap Holding AB
    • Digital Network Holding, Inc.
    • Fantas-E AB
    • International Clean Energy Inc.
    • Intritum Partner Limited
    • Intritum Recycling GH Limited
    • MSTRpay AB
    • SWAP Services, Inc.
    • VMT Holding, Inc.
    • Universal Streaming Technologies – USTA
    • TC Unterhaltungselektronik AG
No Result
View All Result
newshub
No Result
View All Result
ADVERTISEMENT

How rising oil prices could impact the election, according to experts

2024/10/11/04:10
in Oil, US politics
Reading Time: 5 mins read
261 8
A A
Oil falls to 7-mth low on renewed demand fears, rate hike expectations
MSTRpay MSTRpay MSTRpay
ADVERTISEMENT

Oil prices have surged in recent weeks as the war escalates.

An escalation of conflicts in the Middle East in recent weeks has triggered a sharp increase in oil prices, raising uncertainty about where costs will head in the final weeks before Election Day.

Oil prices surged about 13% over an 11-day stretch ending on Monday. Prices fell markedly on Tuesday, however, as nearly a week passed without the onset of a widely anticipated Israeli counterattack on Iran.

The rise of oil prices carries potential implications for the presidential election next month. A hike in the cost of crude oil typically raises the price of gasoline, which holds substantial sway over general consumer attitudes, experts told ABC News.

For now, the recent increase in oil prices is not large enough to impact the election, experts said. However, they added, a further spike over the coming weeks could sour consumer sentiment and weaken approval of Vice President Kamala Harris, since her party occupies the White House.

“People use gasoline as a gauge of the economy and how they’re feeling about it,” Denton Cinquegrana, chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service, told ABC News.

“A small change in prices probably won’t move the needle. If the price of a gallon goes up 50 cents, then that gets people’s attention,” Cinquegrana added, noting that such an increase is possible, but unlikely.

At least one expert cast doubt over the impact of even a sharp hike in oil and gas prices, saying it is unclear whether voters would fault Harris for the price spike and, even if they did, whether the few weeks remaining in the campaign affords enough time for higher prices to register with voters.

“People look at the economy over the long term, not the last month,” Jon Krosnick, a professor of political science at Stanford University who studies the relationship between gas prices and political perceptions, told ABC News.

In the aftermath of the Iranian attack on Israel last week, petroleum analysts told ABC News that the resulting spike in oil prices could push up gasoline prices between 10 and 15 cents per gallon. An increase of that magnitude would not affect the election, experts said, since the moderate uptick would do little to irk consumers and diminish their opinion about the nation’s economy.

“I do suspect that prices are going to continue to move higher, but I don’t think it will be significantly higher,” Cinquegrana said. “Unless something really goes haywire, I don’t expect prices to spike ahead of the election.”

A slight increase in gas prices may not matter much to consumers because costs at the pump have eased significantly over the past year, experts said.

Fuel prices have plummeted in recent months due to sluggish demand for gas as the busy summer traveling season has given way to an autumn slowdown. The average price of a gallon of gas is about 15% lower than where it stood a year ago, AAA data shows.

Smoke rises in Beirut’s southern suburbs after a strike, amid the ongoing hostilities between Hezbollah and I…Show moreMohamed Azakir/Reuters

Despite its recent uptick, the price of oil has also fallen from a 2022 peak reached when the blazing-hot economic rebound from the pandemic collided with a supply shortage imposed by the Russia-Ukraine war.

A major escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran, however, could send oil and gas prices much higher, analysts said, pointing to potentially dire consequences of an anticipated retaliatory strike by Israel against Iran.

While sanctions have constrained Iranian oil output in recent years, the nation asserts control over the passage of tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, a trading route that facilitates the transport of about 15% of global oil supply.

Intensification of the war could limit Iranian oil production or transport through the Strait of Hormuz, cutting global supply and sending prices upward, some experts said.

“The risk of a wider war in the Middle East has gone up,” Jim Burkhard, vice president and head of research for oil markets, energy and mobility at S&P Global, told ABC News. “There’s the risk of something happening that could lead to higher prices.”

A further surge in oil prices would send gas prices skyrocketing, which could damage Harris’ political fortunes if voters fault the Biden administration for the sudden increase in costs right before they cast their ballots, Carola Binder, an economics professor at the University of Texas at Austin who studies the relationship between gas prices and consumer attitudes, told ABC News.

“If there was a huge increase in gas prices, I could imagine that hurting Harris’ chances,” Binder said. “Consumer sentiment does affect elections.”

Such a forecast drew sharp disagreement from Krosnick, even though his research helped establish an understanding of the political implications of rising gas prices.

Krosnick co-authored a 2016 study in the academic journal Political Psychology that examined the relationship between gas prices and presidential approval rating between the mid-1970s and mid-2000s. The study found that elevated gas prices drove a president’s approval downward. To be exact, each 10-cent increase in the gas price was associated with more than half a percentage point decline in presidential approval, the research showed.

The findings do not shed light on a scenario in which gas prices spike ahead of next month’s election, Krosnick said, noting that his research examined shifts in public opinion over a much longer period of time. Plus, he added, voters may not fault Harris for the Middle East conflict that would drive the potential price increase.

“There isn’t enough time for there to be a sustained change in prices,” Krosnick said. “It takes a while to ripple out to consumers.”

Source: abcNEWS

Related Posts

Trump lashes out at Bruce Springsteen after concert criticism: “Dumb as a rock”
US politics

The Boss divides: Springsteen’s anti-Trump comments spark fan backlash

by newshub
3 hours ago

Bruce Springsteen, famously dubbed "The Boss", has once again ignited a fiery debate among his loyal fanbase following recent outspoken...

Read moreDetails
White House declares Biden a ‘complete disgrace’ following his fiery interview

Biden addresses prostate cancer diagnosis: “Feeling good”

3 hours ago
Trump announces 25% tariffs on foreign steel and aluminium

Trump doubles down on steel tariffs: a 50% hike

1 day ago
Trump and Musk reaffirm alliance as DOGE role ends

Trump and Musk reaffirm alliance as DOGE role ends

2 days ago
Elon Musk appears with Trump and tries to claim ‘Doge’ team is transparent

Trump and musk to address media today, Friday

2 days ago
Tesla deliveries drop 13% amid backlash against CEO Elon Musk

Musk swerves out of Trump lane as Doge dreams stall and Tesla spins off track

3 days ago
No Result
View All Result

Recent Posts

  • Bitcoin bulls see path to $130K—and possibly $1.5M
  • Soil carbon credits: A solution to climate change?
  • On this day in 1533: Anne Boleyn becomes England’s Queen
  • Brexit’s evolving legacy: How UK citizens feel now
  • Frozen assets, heated debate: The call to seize Russian funds for Ukraine

Recent Comments

    Archives

    • June 2025
    • May 2025
    • April 2025
    • March 2025
    • February 2025
    • January 2025
    • December 2024
    • November 2024
    • October 2024
    • September 2024
    • August 2024
    • July 2024
    • June 2024
    • May 2024
    • April 2024
    • March 2024
    • February 2024
    • January 2024
    • December 2023
    • November 2023
    • October 2023
    • September 2023
    • August 2023
    • July 2023
    • June 2023
    • May 2023
    • April 2023
    • March 2023
    • February 2023
    • January 2023
    • December 2022
    • November 2022
    • October 2022
    • September 2022
    • August 2022

    Categories

    • Africa
    • AI
    • An diesem Tag
    • Asia
    • Australia
    • Banking
    • Best chefs
    • Biden
    • Blockchain
    • Blockchain technology
    • Carbon
    • Central Banks
    • China
    • Climate
    • Climate & Energy
    • Coal
    • Cocktail of the week
    • Commodities
    • Corporate
    • Crypto
    • Deutsch
    • Deutsch PR
    • English PR
    • Europe
    • Financial insights
    • Focus on neobanking
    • Gas
    • Global news
    • Harris
    • History
    • India
    • Influential women
    • Invest and Rest
    • Italiano PR
    • Japan
    • Lifestyle
    • Metaverse
    • MSTRpay
    • Neobanking
    • News
    • newshub special
    • newshub-special
    • NFT
    • Nobel Prizes 2024
    • Nuclear
    • Oil
    • Press
    • Press releases
    • Pressroom
    • Renewable
    • Russia
    • Solar
    • South America
    • South East Asia
    • Stock of the week
    • Stocks
    • Svensk PR
    • Tech
    • Trump
    • Trump trials
    • UFO
    • UK
    • UK News
    • Ukraine
    • US
    • US politics
    • Waves
    • WEX
    • Wind

    Meta

    • Log in
    • Entries feed
    • Comments feed
    • WordPress.org

    Recent Posts

    • Bitcoin bulls see path to $130K—and possibly $1.5M
    • Soil carbon credits: A solution to climate change?
    • On this day in 1533: Anne Boleyn becomes England’s Queen
    • Brexit’s evolving legacy: How UK citizens feel now
    • Frozen assets, heated debate: The call to seize Russian funds for Ukraine

    Categories

    • Africa
    • AI
    • An diesem Tag
    • Asia
    • Australia
    • Banking
    • Best chefs
    • Biden
    • Blockchain
    • Blockchain technology
    • Carbon
    • Central Banks
    • China
    • Climate
    • Climate & Energy
    • Coal
    • Cocktail of the week
    • Commodities
    • Corporate
    • Crypto
    • Deutsch
    • Deutsch PR
    • English PR
    • Europe
    • Financial insights
    • Focus on neobanking
    • Gas
    • Global news
    • Harris
    • History
    • India
    • Influential women
    • Invest and Rest
    • Italiano PR
    • Japan
    • Lifestyle
    • Metaverse
    • MSTRpay
    • Neobanking
    • News
    • newshub special
    • newshub-special
    • NFT
    • Nobel Prizes 2024
    • Nuclear
    • Oil
    • Press
    • Press releases
    • Pressroom
    • Renewable
    • Russia
    • Solar
    • South America
    • South East Asia
    • Stock of the week
    • Stocks
    • Svensk PR
    • Tech
    • Trump
    • Trump trials
    • UFO
    • UK
    • UK News
    • Ukraine
    • US
    • US politics
    • Waves
    • WEX
    • Wind

    Archives

    • June 2025
    • May 2025
    • April 2025
    • March 2025
    • February 2025
    • January 2025
    • December 2024
    • November 2024
    • October 2024
    • September 2024
    • August 2024
    • July 2024
    • June 2024
    • May 2024
    • April 2024
    • March 2024
    • February 2024
    • January 2024
    • December 2023
    • November 2023
    • October 2023
    • September 2023
    • August 2023
    • July 2023
    • June 2023
    • May 2023
    • April 2023
    • March 2023
    • February 2023
    • January 2023
    • December 2022
    • November 2022
    • October 2022
    • September 2022
    • August 2022
    newshub

    © 2023-2025
    A part of MSTRpay
    MSTRpay
    Legal & Disclosure

    • Global news
    • Financial insights
    • Fin & tech
    • Climate & energy
    • Lifestyle
    • WEX

    Welcome Back!

    Login to your account below

    Forgotten Password?

    Retrieve your password

    Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

    Log In
    Please enter CoinGecko Free Api Key to get this plugin works.

    Add New Playlist

    No Result
    View All Result
    • Global news
    • Financial insights
      • Africa
      • Asia
      • Australia
      • Central Banks
      • China
      • Commodities
      • Europe
      • Banking
      • Corporate
      • Neobanking
      • Investment
      • Japan
      • South East Asia
      • Stock of the week
      • UK
      • US
    • Fin & tech
      • AI
      • Blockchain
      • Crypto
      • MSTRpay
      • Tech
    • Climate & energy
      • Climate
      • Carbon
      • Coal
      • Disruptive
      • Gas
      • Nuclear
      • Oil
      • Solar
      • Water
      • Waves
      • Wind
      • Renewable
      • South America
    • Lifestyle
      • Best chefs
      • Cocktail of the week
      • History
      • Influential women
    • WEX
      • Alt Kap Holding AB
      • Digital Network Holding, Inc.
      • Fantas-E AB
      • International Clean Energy Inc.
      • Intritum Partner Limited
      • Intritum Recycling GH Limited
      • MSTRpay AB
      • SWAP Services, Inc.
      • VMT Holding, Inc.
      • Universal Streaming Technologies – USTA
      • TC Unterhaltungselektronik AG

    © 2023-2025
    A part of MSTRpay
    MSTRpay
    Legal & Disclosure