Japanese stocks advanced on Wednesday as the yen sagged to its weakest since 1990, but Chinese markets slipped and regional stocks overall lacked strong direction in a holiday-shortened week that ends with a key reading on U.S. inflation.
The yen has been sliding despite the Bank of Japan’s first interest rate hike for 17 years last week as traders expect very gradual tightening and possible delays to long expected Federal Reserve easing.
BOJ board member Naoki Tamura reinforced the dovish outlook regarding further tightening on Wednesday, saying the central bank should “move slowly but steadily toward policy normalisation”.
Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (.HSI), slumped 1% and mainland Chinese blue chips lost about 0.7%, reversing gains from the previous session.
Overall, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares advanced 0.1%, but that flipped to a 0.17% decline if Japanese shares were removed.
“It’s choppy, directionless trading, and there’s a good reason for that: we’ve hit that time of the quarter when rebalancing flows are impacting the market,” said Tony Sycamore, a strategist at IG.
Another reason is that two key events — the release of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s favoured inflation indicator and public comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell — come on Friday, when most markets are closed for a holiday, he added.
Inflation data “have not been doing what’s expected”, and in the event of a hot reading, “the bumpy road that the Fed has been talking about suddenly starts to look more like a mountain trek”, Sycamore said.
The U.S. dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, including the yen, was 0.07% higher at 104.36, taking it to just below Friday’s five-week high of 104.49.
The dollar was last 0.06% stronger at 151.65 yen
“The very accommodative stance of BOJ and data that continue to show the fragility of Japan’s ‘virtuous cycle’ economic recovery underscore the divergence in policy stances” with the Fed, Westpac strategists wrote in a note.
“If intervention were to occur, resultant flushes in USD/JPY below 150.00 are likely to be seen as buying opportunities.”
The euro was flat at $1.08285. Sterling fell 0.12% to $1.26175.
U.S. long-term Treasury yields were stable at 4.23%.
Traders are trying to gauge which of the big central banks – the Fed, ECB or Bank of England – will be first to cut rates this year.
Meanwhile, Sweden’s Riksbank decides policy later in the day, with a hold widely expected, but markets are looking at hints for a cut by June.
Pan-European STOXX 50 futures pointed 0.12% lower, while U.S. S&P 500 futures added 0.32%.
Gold was little changed at around $2,179 as it continued to search for a short-term floor following its surge to a record $2,222.39 on Thursday.
Cryptocurrency bitcoin added 0.5% to $70,167.
Crude oil fell for a second day after a report that crude stockpiles surged in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user, and on signs major producers are unlikely to change their output policy at a technical meeting next week.
Brent crude futures for May dropped 74 cents, or 0.9%, to $85.51 a barrel. The May contract is set to expire on Thursday and the more actively traded June contract declined 68 cents, or 0.8%, at $84.95.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for May delivery fell 64 cents, or 0.8%, at $80.98.
Source: Reuters
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